Pakistan
Pakistan will elect a new president on September 6 and will face daunting challenges relating to civil-military relations, counterterrorism operations, and relations with its neighbors—with major implications for United States. Ashley J. Tellis warns that the next U.S. president must pursue a balanced strategy toward Pakistan that simultaneously strengthens the civilian government—the best hope for Pakistan’s long-term stability—without alienating the Pakistani army.
- Pakistani Politics:
- Pakistan After Musharraf
Russia-Georgia
Russian President Dmitri Medvedev announced last week that Russia would recognize the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Meanwhile the continued presence of Russian troops in Georgia further strains Russia’s relations with the West. Ambassador James Collins, Robert Kagan, Masha Lipman, Michael McFaul, Martha Olcott, and Dmitri Trenin offer analyses on Russia’s likely agenda, Georgia’s strategic calculations, and what role the West can play moving forward.
Libya
On the eve of Secretary Rice’s visit to Libya, Michele Dunne urges the United States to use its limited but growing influence in Libya to support growth in non-governmental sectors rather than implicitly endorsing the regime’s status quo. The United States should set clear objectives aimed at helping the Libyan people and avoid merely putting more resources into the hands of regime insiders and crony capitalists.
Iraq
Negotiations on an agreement on the future of U.S. forces in Iraq continue, complicated by disagreements over the need for a withdrawal date and immunity for American troops. Current and former Iraqi leaders and Carnegie experts discuss the importance of transforming military gains into political reconciliation - including agreement on Iraqi refugees and the disarmament of militias - before the agreement can be adopted.
- More on Reconciliation:
- Allawi on political reconciliation
- Iraqi Parliamentarians on achieving long-term stability
China's Economy
China’s economy will surpass the U.S. by 2035 and be twice its size by midcentury, that was the key finding of Albert Keidel's new report, China’s Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction. Keidel shows that China's rapid growth is driven by domestic demand—not exports—and will sustain high single-digit growth rates well into this century. China’s ascendency as the preeminent world commercial influence requires U.S. leaders to reassess a broad array of economic and military policies.
- More on China's Economy:
- Kurlantzick: The Forgotten (The New Republic)
More Analysis
Next January, the new U.S. President will be confronted with the longest list of severe challenges any president has faced in decades. Prioritizing among them will be even more important than usual. In its new series, "Foreign Policy for the Next President", the Carnegie Endowment’s experts endeavor to do just that. They separate good ideas from dead ends and go beyond widely agreed goals to describe how to achieve them.
In this series...
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Understanding Mauritania’s Coup
The bloodless military coup that overthrew Mauritania’s democratic government complicates U.S. efforts to improve security in the North Africa. Christopher Boucek explains that Washington can encourage coup leaders to move toward elections by leveraging its military assistance and humanitarian and institutional capacity-building programs in the country.
Commentary
Carnegie experts offer analyses on Russia’s agenda, Georgia’s strategic calculations, and how Western / American values may have played a role in escalating tensions.
Overview and resources:
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U.S.-India Nuclear Deal
The Indo-U.S. civilian nuclear deal has cleared major hurdles in the Lok Sabha, but still faces Congressional approval. The agreement would lift the U.S. ban on nuclear trade with India and allow it to assist India’s civilian nuclear program. Sharon Squassoni explains the details of the agreement and why it is so unusual. Consequences of the Deal: India as a Nuclear Partner
A Secure Nuclear Power Expansion
A worldwide revival of nuclear energy appears to be looming, now is the time to ensure that future nuclear expansion is as safe and secure as possible, testified Pierre Goldschmidt, before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Terrorism, Nonproliferation, and Trade.
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